Dang, man…
This one snuck up on me, and has caught everyone a little by surprise, I think, especially this late in the season. A solid Category 5 storm with 175 mph sustained winds and the lowest ever central pressure at 882 mbar (6 mbar less than Hurricane Gilbert!), this one is a serious big-time threat to the whole Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico region.
It’s tracking steadily WNW after stalling and strengthening immediately upon organization in the northern Caribbean, but the weather experts are predicting a northerly turn tonight and a subsequent turn due east after it passes into the Gulf.
I believe the northerly turn will happen, and definitely overnight, rather than during the day, but I don’t know if it’s going to track as strongly eastward as they expect. Once it gets in the Gulf, too many of the controlling variables change, and a large aberration from the prediction could easily result. If I were a resident of the U.S. Gulf coast region right now, I’d be boarding up and getting ready to leave or batten down the hatches today. Better to be a little overprepared and a few steps ahead of everyone than to be caught up in the mad rush that will inevitably occur when this one surprises the experts yet again. I’ll be putting in a phone call tonight to find out for certain, but I can guarantee y’all that my family in coastal Alabama has been through enough of these things that they are already getting ready for this one.
I could be completely wrong on this one (as it’s happened before), but I wouldn’t be assuming that the Florida Keys will be the only U.S. region impacted by Wilma. Y’all keep an eye on the Weather channel over the next 2-3 days, and let’s all hope my intuitions are wrong.
Also, this another one of those that would fit nicely in the “weather” category, if’n we had one…